Circus Maximus MMXVI: Under pressure

8 11 2016

1:01: Time to go to bed and lie awake, stunned. Good night, all.

12:53: I’ve said before, for different events, that “I will no longer predict. . . .”

Adding presidential elections to that list.

I mean, I accepted the possibility that Trump, as the Republican nominee, had a shot, but I never believed it. I can say I was following the polls, which showed Clinton the likely winner, but, again, I didn’t believe he would end up the winner.

12:23: I’m sorry for Hillary Clinton, sorry for those modest gains I thought I could look forward to, and devastated with what we will lose with the Republicans in charge.

And devastated for all the people who have been targets, who will be targets, of the presumptive president.

12:16: All right, Republicans, this is on you. You’re in charge now, so let’s see if you can keep it together.

12:14: We’ll survive this, but not without pain, great pain and suffering.

12:07: President Donald Trump. Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. Speaker not-Ryan.

I was so, so goddamned wrong. Jesus christ. I ignored the polls showing Trump strength in the primaries, and paid attention to polls showing Clinton doing well. I thought I was being responsible.

But I also couldn’t believe that that many people wanted this intemperate incompetent to be president, that this many people hated Hillary Clinton.

I was so goddamned wrong.

11:36: Trump’s going to take Wisconsin. Goddammit.

11:34: They’re going to have all three branches of government. And an open Supreme Court seat.

11:27: I wrote a while ago that I didn’t think that most white people wanted to be racist, wouldn’t celebrate it.

I know, I know, #notallTrumpvotersareracist, but an awful lot of them don’t care that an awful lot of them are.

11:08: I’m ’bout ready to cry.

10:58: I’m going to be one of the wailers, aren’t I? One who’s going to have to recognize the legitimacy of a man who would be a terrible, terrible president.

10:43:Looking at that Times map, where Clinton needs 161 to get to 270:

  • CA-WA-OR will go Clinton, 74.
  • CO, leaning Clinton, 9 (83)
  • HI will go Clinton, 4 (87)
  • VA, leaning Clinton, 13 (100)
  • PA, leaning Clinton, 20 (120)
  • ME, leaning Clinton, 4 (124)
  • MN, leaning Clinton, 10 (134)

Possible pickups, too soon to tell:

  • MI (leaning Trump), 16
  • WI (leaning Trump), 10
  • IA (leaning Clinton), 4
  • NV (1% reporting), 6

She needs all of these to go for her. Jesus fucking christ.

10:37: I’m obsessing over the NYTimes live update map. Come on, Wisconsin and Michigan! COME ON!

10:24: I am freaking the fuck out.

~10:00: Jesus Christ, this thing is far too close.

Jesus Christ.

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Circus Maximus MMXVI: We all look smaller down here on the ground

8 11 2016

XIII. Big crowds and wild cheering for one’s candidate are nice—intoxicating, even—but you don’t win just by drawing the enthusiastic.

You win by reeling in the reluctant and the resigned and getting them to the polls.

XIV. I’ve heard and read different pieces wondering about reconciliation and what Clinton should do to reach out to those who rejected her.

My first thought: Fuck them. FUCK THEM.

Second thought: What about what Clinton should do for those who supported her?

Third thought: Politics, goddammit, requires conciliation. Goddammit. Even if it’s fake, hypocritical, and wholly expedient, politics, per Crick, requires some basic ability for us to live with one another.

So those of who voted for Clinton can gloat for a bit and those who voted for Trump can glower for a bit, but then we need, however grumpily, to get over it

XV. Some folks, however, won’t get over it.

I expect Clinton to win, so it’ll be easier for us to say “Let’s get on with it” because there’s stuff we actually want her to do.

Some of the reluctant Trump voters will look down, kick the dirt, look up, sigh, and move on.

Some non-Clinton/non-Trump voters will shrug, go “Oh well,” and move on.

Some of the avid Trump supporters will wail, then sulk, then move on.

And then there are the dedicated Hillary Haters and MAGA folks, who will not accept the results, either by rejecting the vote totals out of hand (Fraud! Tampering!) or supporting every effort to impede a Clinton presidency through constant investigations and/or impeachment attempts.

I don’t know the best way to deal with this last group. I think any Congressmember who seeks to nullify the election results should be punished at every possible turn and continually denounced for their attempts to delegitimize the very political institutions in which they exercise their power. No mercy.

And the citizens who cheer on the nullifiers? That’s tricky. No coddling—even reconciliation doesn’t require coddling—but they’re a large enough chunk of the polity that they can’t simply be ignored, either. Yes, try to hive off some of the more uncertain members of this group, but how to do that? I don’t know.

Republicans presumably have the greater responsibility to deal with this dead-ender faction, but since the leadership alternates between appeasing and encouraging them, I don’t think they can be counted on to do the right thing. It shouldn’t be too much to ask—emphasize that Democrats are a legitimate party  and it’s not always unfair when they win—but it probably is.

MMXVI

What do I expect from a Clinton presidency?

More of the same, both good and bad, and probably a greater push on issues regarding child care and health. Congress, even if the Senate goes Dem, will likely continue their obstructionism, but Clinton might—might—be able to cobble together majorities to pass criminal justice reform.

Modest gains, at best.

I’ll take it.





Circus Maximus: If you act, as you think

8 11 2016





Circus Maximus MMXVI: Someone told me not to cry/I never thought I’d need so many people

8 11 2016

Double bill, because it’s Arcade Fire and Bowie, Bowie and Arcade Fire:

1.

2.





Circus Maximus MMXVI: See them on the beach or in New York City

8 11 2016





Circus Maximus MMXVI: This ain’t no fooling around

8 11 2016